OpenAI’s most recent model, GPT-4, continues to defy expectations and demonstrate how disruptive it will be in our daily lives. An artificial general intelligence (AGI) arms race has begun—on both private and national levels. How it will affect us on a macro-level remains to be seen, and whether we will see this as the Borg or Data is similarly uncertain.
Unlike many, I’m not convinced this marks the end of human creativity or the wider understanding of humanity itself. No, this marks the beginning of a new Gutenberg press age. Reducing the barriers to entry for creatives to create content in mediums they haven’t mastered isn’t unique to AGI; it’s not even really that unique.
Humans have consistently increased the speed and ease of data transfer while drastically reducing the need for intense labor as a whole. Let’s think about another equally disruptive technological breakthrough that humans have already experienced.
The Internet? Too soon. Dream bigger.
What about the industrial revolution? Getting closer, but not what I’m thinking of here.
Okay, what about the advent of writing that I’m so fond of rambling on about? Not even that (I know, I’m surprised too, dear reader).
Stumped? Let’s talk about agriculture.
About 10,000 years ago, humanity largely shifted its subsistence strategy—how we generate food—from foraging to agriculture. This allowed for many things: less land needed for food production, the ability to remain more sedentary, higher concentrations of people in the same place, and higher yields of food with fewer people working fewer hours.
This was a liberating moment for human creativity and ingenuity. We could dedicate more time and resources to pursuits not directly connected to figuring out our next meal—literally. Art, literature, innovation, markets—all the hallmarks of life as we know it now started with the introduction of a technology that we now take for granted: placing a seed in the ground.
But it’s not all rainbows. Closer proximity to one another and animals meant disease could fester more easily. Concentrations of wealth gravitated toward larger populations, and power became less distributed. There were many downstream consequences, both good and bad.
So what about AGI?
It will likely be very much the same. While some jobs may become redundant, even more work will become redundant or trivially easy to do. Hobbyist coders like me will be able to increase the sophistication of our code by simply knowing what we want to do and will be better at coding as a result of learning how AGI compiles it. Writers will be able to check for spelling, grammar, and more in the blink of an eye—or even use prompts to help overcome writer’s block. We’ll be able to increase our creativity and devote our brainpower to things greater than tedium.
However, I would caution not to see the future as utopian here, but merely the next iteration in a long line of humans realizing their latent capacity for technologies and using them to increase their quality of life—without ever knowing the full scope of its consequences.